Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 217.337280 244.276094 274.049111 309.535114 350.859476 397.680995 455.052433
2025-03-02 179.910962 216.354712 260.183907 317.362993 390.852991 483.326687 610.417755
2025-03-09 156.350319 196.420017 247.354340 317.978446 415.190067 547.079023 744.530022
2025-03-16 137.573251 178.658307 233.148416 312.392724 427.616407 593.891207 861.453490
2025-03-23 125.411163 167.577492 225.599909 313.606151 448.030483 653.309913 1006.863571
2025-03-30 113.452744 155.169786 214.338647 307.287460 455.311722 692.678723 1126.797016
2025-04-06 104.746003 146.340763 207.000903 305.454147 468.544043 742.627832 1274.308636
2025-04-13 94.447110 134.145580 193.309672 291.836307 460.257640 754.255281 1352.981953
2025-04-20 90.942672 131.761932 194.217300 301.554213 492.327715 841.649598 1598.892396
2025-04-27 88.350168 130.478980 196.600016 313.797543 530.311654 946.362708 1908.338329
2025-05-04 83.712689 125.544308 192.561699 314.374072 546.714442 1011.601421 2147.530197
2025-05-11 77.931158 118.311950 184.076259 306.059562 544.853188 1038.854739 2303.229628
2025-05-18 72.934298 112.111772 176.995099 299.880577 547.019285 1076.509760 2500.572863
2025-05-25 70.624561 110.222783 177.165229 307.263307 577.881031 1183.986207 2921.983029
2025-06-01 67.459281 106.631980 174.011571 307.859732 594.457327 1261.652164 3287.106250
2025-06-08 63.703323 101.757633 168.157984 302.491684 597.220832 1306.310214 3568.182171
2025-06-15 61.189920 98.881178 165.699269 303.657866 614.746163 1391.776428 4016.874808
2025-06-22 57.915804 94.443269 160.010520 297.584763 614.663100 1430.987670 4322.234221
2025-06-29 55.449492 91.306368 156.539669 295.822492 624.593529 1499.772279 4768.429099
2025-07-06 51.779696 85.775077 148.135197 282.729289 605.193768 1481.810945 4868.737165
2025-07-13 51.021021 85.548390 149.956729 292.073361 643.150443 1640.229804 5779.822994
2025-07-20 50.545382 85.809900 152.740057 303.841801 689.302061 1836.258681 6987.839909
2025-07-27 48.888342 83.736101 150.699537 304.395864 705.762349 1941.892859 7834.728856